NFL cheat sheet: week 8
This season only, and only numbers a book will pay for: a line priced worse than -200 is left off, however long the streak. Green rows face one of the 10 defenses that give up the most to that position. Tap a name for his game log and hit rates.
Left off this week: ATL QBs (Andy Dalton arrived from PHI) · MIA RBs (Kaytron Allen arrived from WAS) · MIA WRs (Jared Wayne arrived from HOU) · MIN WRs (Odell Beckham Jr. arrived from NYG). A new teammate at the position changes everyone’s role; they come back once he has played a game.
Chalk combos, every game Beta
Lines priced around -250 to -500 that each player has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season, put together within one game so the combo pays between roughly -130 and +200; the bands are guidance, so a leg or a combo a little outside them still makes the cut when the numbers are good. Our chance is the legs multiplied; each price is that leg’s best book, and a same-game parlay at one book will price a touch differently.
The legs and their book prices are free with an account.
Sign up freeResearch, not a promise: a combo loses when any leg misses, and legs from one game can miss together. 21+ · Gamble responsibly.
Every game this season
The highest number each player has reached in every game he has played this season (at least 4). Softest defenses first; injured players left off.
- S. Diggs WAS vs PHI: 4+ Receptions5/5 this season · missed 1Soft matchup: PHI allow the 4th most receiving yards to wide receivers
- B. Bowers LV @ NYJ: 70+ Rec Yards5/5 this season · missed 2
- T. McBride ARI @ DAL: 7+ Receptions7/7 this season
1 more on this list. Create a free account to see every cheat sheet, every game, all season.
Create a free accountResearch, not picks. In 2025, lines like these were reached again the next game 83% of the time: 84% against the 10 softest defenses, 80% against the 10 toughest. Sportsbooks usually price them at about that chance or higher, so a streak alone isn’t an edge.
Hit in 80%+ of his games
Numbers a book sells at -200 or better that he has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season (4+ games). Best hit rates first.
- J. Warren PIT vs CLE: 26+ Rec Yards7/7 this season
- J. Dobbins DEN vs KC: 22+ Rush Yards7/7 this season
- C. Godwin Jr. TB vs ATL: 25+ Rec Yards7/7 this season
27 more on this list. Create a free account to see every cheat sheet, every game, all season.
Create a free accountResearch, not picks. A high hit rate at a cheap price is usually priced that way for a reason; the price column says what the book thinks.