ATL @ GB
Week 3 · Final: ATL 35, GB 14
Tucker Kraft · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 4
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jayden Reed · 2+ receptions Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Tucker Kraft · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+123).
Our number: 3.2. ATL gives up a lot to tight ends, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Christian Watson · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-108).
Our number: 4.1. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Matthew Golden · Under 50.5 rec yds Miss · 100
Details
Fanatics: Under 50.5 rec yds (-105).
Our number: 44. ATL gives up a lot to receivers, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Bijan Robinson · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 2
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-146).
Our number: 5.3. GB is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Drake London · Under 63.5 rec yds Miss · 194
Details
DraftKings: Under 63.5 rec yds (-113).
Our number: 45. GB is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: GB by 6.7, close to the line.
We expect about 33 (GB 20, ATL 13). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jayden Reed · 2+ receptions Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -318.
Jordan Love · 150+ passing yards Hit · 312
Fair price for our chance: -289. Other rungs: 175+ about 66% (fair -191) · 200+ about 63% (fair -169) · 225+ about 60% (fair -151).
Tucker Kraft · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 26
Fair price for our chance: -270. Other rungs: 30+ about 64% (fair -175) · 40+ about 60% (fair -151).
Pregame leans for GB
Tucker Kraft · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 4
Christian Watson · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 7
Matthew Golden · Under 50.5 rec yds Miss · 100
Pregame leans for ATL
Bijan Robinson · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 2
Drake London · Under 63.5 rec yds Miss · 194