BAL @ DAL
Week 3 · Final: BAL 34, DAL 31
Dak Prescott · Under 10.5 rush yds Miss · 19
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Derrick Henry · 100+ rushing yards Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Dak Prescott · Under 10.5 rush yds Miss · 19
Details
Fanatics: Under 10.5 rush yds (+120).
Our number: 10. BAL is tough on quarterbacks, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Zay Flowers · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-145).
Our number: 4.9. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
CeeDee Lamb · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-114).
Our number: 5.4. BAL gives up a lot to receivers, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jake Ferguson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-102).
Our number: 2. BAL is tough on tight ends, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Javonte Williams · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 98
Details
DraftKings: Under 57.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 42. BAL is tough on running backs, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: BAL by 0.6, close to the line.
We expect about 57 (DAL 28, BAL 29). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Derrick Henry · 100+ rushing yards Miss · 89
Fair price for our chance: -284. Other rungs: 80+ about 82% (fair -452) · 110+ about 66% (fair -192) · 130+ about 60% (fair -151).
Zay Flowers · 50+ receiving yards Hit · 84
Fair price for our chance: -283. Other rungs: 40+ about 78% (fair -344) · 60+ about 65% (fair -188) · 70+ about 63% (fair -169).
CeeDee Lamb · 4+ receptions Hit · 7
Fair price for our chance: -278.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Henry 100+ + Flowers 50+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · Henry 100+ + Flowers 50+ + Lamb 4+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +149.
Pregame leans for DAL
Dak Prescott · Under 10.5 rush yds Miss · 19
CeeDee Lamb · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 7
Jake Ferguson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Javonte Williams · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 98
Pregame leans for BAL
Zay Flowers · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 5