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CAR @ CLE

Week 3 · Final: CAR 18, CLE 21

Best bet

Tommy Tremble · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 3

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Harold Fannin Jr. · 20+ receiving yards Hit research

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No edge Miss

Pregame leans
?The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.

Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.

1

Tommy Tremble · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 3

Details

FanDuel: Under 1.5 receptions (+104).

Our number: 1.5. CLE is tough on tight ends, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

2

Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2

Details

DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+122).

Our number: 4. Expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

3

Bryce Young · Under 15.5 rush yds Hit · 0

Details

Fanatics: Under 15.5 rush yds (-135).

Our number: 14. CLE is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

4

Tetairoa McMillan · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2

Details

DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-113).

Our number: 3. Expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

5

Chuba Hubbard · Under 70.5 rush yds Miss · 82

Details

DraftKings: Under 70.5 rush yds (-112).

Our number: 26. CLE gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

Game call

Spread

No edge. Our number: CAR by 5.2, close to the line.

Total points

We expect about 49 (CLE 22, CAR 27). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.

25.4CAR score a game
20.9CLE allow a game
19.0CLE score a game
27.6CAR allow a game

More options

Safer bets (alt lines) · research
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.

Harold Fannin Jr. · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 51

Fair price for our chance: -267.

Pregame leans for CAR

1

Tommy Tremble · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 3

2

Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2

3

Bryce Young · Under 15.5 rush yds Hit · 0

4

Tetairoa McMillan · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2

5

Chuba Hubbard · Under 70.5 rush yds Miss · 82