CIN @ PIT
Week 3 · Final: CIN 27, PIT 30
Tee Higgins · Under 54.5 rec yds Miss · 90
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Pat Freiermuth · 30+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Tee Higgins · Under 54.5 rec yds Miss · 90
Details
DraftKings: Under 54.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 52. PIT is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
DK Metcalf · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-133).
Our number: 4.1. Expected game flow helps him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Pat Freiermuth · Over 3.5 receptions Miss · 2
Details
Fanatics: Over 3.5 receptions (-155).
Our number: 3.6. CIN gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow helps him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 9
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-115).
Our number: 5.2. PIT is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Chase Brown · Over 60.5 rush yds Hit · 61
Details
Fanatics: Over 60.5 rush yds (-135).
Our number: 73. PIT gives up a lot to running backs, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: CIN by 4.5, close to the line.
We expect about 30 (PIT 13, CIN 17). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Pat Freiermuth · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 30
Fair price for our chance: -294. Other rungs: 40+ about 60% (fair -152).
Jaylen Warren · 30+ rushing yards Hit · 127
Fair price for our chance: -272.
Aaron Rodgers · 200+ passing yards Hit · 292
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 225+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Freiermuth 30+ + Warren 30+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · Freiermuth 30+ + Warren 30+ + Rodgers 200+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +152.
Pregame leans for PIT
DK Metcalf · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Pat Freiermuth · Over 3.5 receptions Miss · 2
Pregame leans for CIN
Tee Higgins · Under 54.5 rec yds Miss · 90
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 9
Chase Brown · Over 60.5 rush yds Hit · 61