HOU @ IND
Week 3 · Final: HOU 17, IND 19
Jonathan Taylor · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Dalton Schultz · 30+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Jonathan Taylor · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+128).
Our number: 2.5. HOU is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Keenan Allen · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-105).
Our number: 3.5. Expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
David Montgomery · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 2
Details
FanDuel: Under 1.5 receptions (-140).
Our number: 1.3. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Daniel Jones · Under 10.5 rush yds Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 10.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 9. HOU is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Tyler Warren · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 9
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+111).
Our number: 3.5. HOU is tough on tight ends, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: IND by 1.1, close to the line.
We expect about 52 (IND 27, HOU 26). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Dalton Schultz · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 30
Fair price for our chance: -353. Other rungs: 40+ about 62% (fair -160) · 50+ about 60% (fair -151).
Jonathan Taylor · 2+ receptions Hit · 2
Fair price for our chance: -304.
Josh Downs · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 77
Fair price for our chance: -296. Other rungs: 30+ about 64% (fair -175).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Schultz 30+ + Taylor 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -134.
3-leg parlay · Schultz 30+ + Taylor 2+ + Downs 20+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +128.
Pregame leans for IND
Jonathan Taylor · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2
Keenan Allen · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 6
Daniel Jones · Under 10.5 rush yds Hit · 5
Tyler Warren · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 9
Pregame leans for HOU
David Montgomery · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 2