MIN @ TB
Week 3 · Final: MIN 23, TB 16
Bucky Irving · Under 55.5 rush yds Hit · 46
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Chris Godwin Jr. · 2+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Bucky Irving · Under 55.5 rush yds Hit · 46
Details
DraftKings: Under 55.5 rush yds (-113).
Our number: 55. Expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
T.J. Hockenson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
Fanatics: Under 3.5 receptions (-120).
Our number: 3.3. TB gives up a lot to tight ends, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Emeka Egbuka · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+125).
Our number: 2.9. MIN gives up a lot to receivers, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Justin Jefferson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-101).
Our number: 4. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jordan Addison · Under 35.5 rec yds Miss · 90
Details
DraftKings: Under 35.5 rec yds (-115).
Our number: 16. TB is tough on receivers, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: MIN by 6.5. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 40 (TB 17, MIN 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Chris Godwin Jr. · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -332. Other rungs: 3+ about 64% (fair -179).
T.J. Hockenson · 2+ receptions Hit · 2
Fair price for our chance: -319. Other rungs: 3+ about 63% (fair -172).
Cade Otton · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -308.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Jr. 2+ + Hockenson 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -133.
3-leg parlay · Jr. 2+ + Hockenson 2+ + Otton 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +126.
Pregame leans for TB
Bucky Irving · Under 55.5 rush yds Hit · 46
Emeka Egbuka · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Pregame leans for MIN
T.J. Hockenson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Justin Jefferson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Jordan Addison · Under 35.5 rec yds Miss · 90