NYJ @ DET
Week 3 · Final: NYJ 24, DET 31
Breece Hall · Under 57.5 rush yds Hit · 32
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Adonai Mitchell · 20+ receiving yards Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Push
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Breece Hall · Under 57.5 rush yds Hit · 32
Details
DraftKings: Under 57.5 rush yds (-111).
Our number: 57. DET gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Sam LaPorta · Under 45.5 rec yds Hit · 44
Details
DraftKings: Under 45.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 44. NYJ is tough on tight ends, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jahmyr Gibbs · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-119).
Our number: 4.2. NYJ is tough on running backs, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Adonai Mitchell · Under 47.5 rec yds Did not play
Details
DraftKings: Under 47.5 rec yds (-109).
Our number: 43. DET gives up a lot to receivers, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jameson Williams · Over 3.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Over 3.5 receptions (-141).
Our number: 3.6. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: NYJ by 4.2. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 50 (DET 23, NYJ 27). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Adonai Mitchell · 20+ receiving yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -291. Other rungs: 25+ about 66% (fair -195) · 35+ about 61% (fair -156) · 40+ about 59% (fair -144).
Jared Goff · 175+ passing yards Hit · 269
Fair price for our chance: -287. Other rungs: 200+ about 65% (fair -184) · 225+ about 61% (fair -156).
Geno Smith · 150+ passing yards Hit · 321
Fair price for our chance: -268. Other rungs: 175+ about 66% (fair -195).
Pregame leans for DET
Sam LaPorta · Under 45.5 rec yds Hit · 44
Jahmyr Gibbs · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 7
Jameson Williams · Over 3.5 receptions Hit · 4
Pregame leans for NYJ
Breece Hall · Under 57.5 rush yds Hit · 32
Adonai Mitchell · Under 47.5 rec yds Did not play