PHI @ CHI
Week 3 · Final: PHI 7, CHI 27
Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Caleb Williams · 150+ passing yards Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-134).
Our number: 2.5. Expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
D'Andre Swift · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 84
Details
DraftKings: Under 60.5 rush yds (-112).
Our number: 59. PHI gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 44.5 rec yds Hit · 32
Details
DraftKings: Under 44.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 42. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Kyle Monangai · Under 40.5 rush yds Hit · 31
Details
DraftKings: Under 40.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 38. PHI gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jalen Hurts · Under 25.5 rush yds Hit · 25
Details
Fanatics: Under 25.5 rush yds (-135).
Our number: 21. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: CHI by 4.1. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 51 (CHI 27, PHI 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Caleb Williams · 150+ passing yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -273. Other rungs: 175+ about 68% (fair -213).
Jalen Hurts · 150+ passing yards Hit · 153
Fair price for our chance: -273. Other rungs: 175+ about 62% (fair -166).
Dallas Goedert · 2+ receptions Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -271.
Pregame leans for CHI
Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
D'Andre Swift · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 84
Kyle Monangai · Under 40.5 rush yds Hit · 31
Pregame leans for PHI
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 44.5 rec yds Hit · 32
Jalen Hurts · Under 25.5 rush yds Hit · 25