ARI @ NYG
Week 4 · Final: ARI 24, NYG 36
Trey McBride · Under 65.5 rec yds Hit · 31
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jeremiyah Love · 2+ receptions Miss research
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Trey McBride · Under 65.5 rec yds Hit · 31
Details
Fanatics: Under 65.5 rec yds (-105).
Our number: 65. NYG is tough on tight ends.
Malik Nabers · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+114).
Our number: 4.2. ARI is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Cam Skattebo · Over 60.5 rush yds Miss · 58
Details
Fanatics: Over 60.5 rush yds (-135).
Our number: 63. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jeremiyah Love · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-170).
Our number: 3.2. His playing time is going up.
Michael Wilson · Under 57.5 rec yds Miss · 95
Details
DraftKings: Under 57.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 49. Small edges add up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: NYG by 1.4. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 47 (NYG 24, ARI 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jeremiyah Love · 2+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Cam Skattebo · 40+ rushing yards Hit · 58
Fair price for our chance: -245. Other rungs: 50+ about 65% (fair -182) · 60+ about 60% (fair -147).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Love 2+ + Skattebo 40+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -102.
Pregame leans for NYG
Malik Nabers · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Cam Skattebo · Over 60.5 rush yds Miss · 58
Pregame leans for ARI
Trey McBride · Under 65.5 rec yds Hit · 31
Jeremiyah Love · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Michael Wilson · Under 57.5 rec yds Miss · 95