ATL @ NO
Week 4 · Final: ATL 45, NO 24
Drake London · Under 79.5 rec yds Miss · 96
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Chris Olave · 8+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Drake London · Under 79.5 rec yds Miss · 96
Details
DraftKings: Under 79.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 78. NO is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Bijan Robinson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-115).
Our number: 4.2. Expected game flow helps him.
Alvin Kamara · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+128).
Our number: 2.1. Includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Tyler Shough · Under 18.5 rush yds Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 18.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 15. ATL is tough on quarterbacks, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Chris Olave · Over 6.5 receptions Hit · 8
Details
DraftKings: Over 6.5 receptions (-146).
Our number: 9. ATL gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: NO by 3.7, close to the line.
We expect about 44 (NO 24, ATL 20). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Chris Olave · 8+ receptions Hit · 8
Fair price for our chance: -271.
Devaughn Vele · 3+ receptions Hit · 6
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 4+ about 66% (fair -195).
Austin Hooper · 2+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -264.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Olave 8+ + Vele 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -108.
3-leg parlay · Olave 8+ + Vele 3+ + Hooper 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +159.
Pregame leans for NO
Alvin Kamara · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 5
Tyler Shough · Under 18.5 rush yds Hit · 5
Chris Olave · Over 6.5 receptions Hit · 8
Pregame leans for ATL
Drake London · Under 79.5 rec yds Miss · 96
Bijan Robinson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 1