DET @ CAR
Week 4 · Final: DET 26, CAR 32
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 14
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Bryce Young · 300+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 14
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+116).
Our number: 4. DET gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Darren Waller · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
Fanatics: Under 3.5 receptions (-210).
Our number: 3.3. DET gives up a lot to tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Sam LaPorta · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 8
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-113).
Our number: 3.9. CAR is tough on tight ends.
Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Did not play
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-120).
Our number: 3.8. DET gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Chuba Hubbard · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 122
Details
Fanatics: Under 65.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 56. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: CAR by 3.8. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 57 (CAR 30, DET 27). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Bryce Young · 300+ passing yards Hit · 329
Fair price for our chance: -276. Other rungs: 275+ about 79% (fair -372).
Chuba Hubbard · 2+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -269.
Jameson Williams · 2+ receptions Hit · 6
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 3+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Young 300+ + Hubbard 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -109.
3-leg parlay · Young 300+ + Hubbard 2+ + Williams 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +157.
Pregame leans for CAR
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 14
Darren Waller · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Did not play
Chuba Hubbard · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 122
Pregame leans for DET
Sam LaPorta · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 8