GB @ TB
Week 4 · Final: GB 17, TB 14
Matthew Golden · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Baker Mayfield · 150+ passing yards Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Push
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Matthew Golden · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+105).
Our number: 4.1. TB is tough on receivers.
Emeka Egbuka · Under 38.5 rec yds Hit · 13
Details
DraftKings: Under 38.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 36. Expected game flow works against him, his playing time is going down.
Bucky Irving · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 61
Details
Fanatics: Under 60.5 rush yds (-125).
Our number: 56. GB gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, his playing time is going down.
Christian Watson · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-153).
Our number: 4.7. TB is tough on receivers.
MarShawn Lloyd · Under 22.5 rush yds Hit · 13
Details
DraftKings: Under 22.5 rush yds (-116).
Our number: 20. TB is tough on running backs, his playing time is going down.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: TB by 4.4. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 42 (TB 23, GB 19). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Baker Mayfield · 150+ passing yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -332. Other rungs: 175+ about 58% (fair -138).
Emeka Egbuka · 3+ receptions Miss · 2
Fair price for our chance: -252. Other rungs: 4+ about 60% (fair -151).
Pregame leans for TB
Emeka Egbuka · Under 38.5 rec yds Hit · 13
Bucky Irving · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 61
Pregame leans for GB
Matthew Golden · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Christian Watson · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 3
MarShawn Lloyd · Under 22.5 rush yds Hit · 13