JAX @ CIN
Week 4 · Final: JAX 22, CIN 17
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Bhayshul Tuten · 50+ rushing yards Hit research
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-108).
Our number: 2.5. JAX is tough on tight ends, includes his games from last season (he’s played fewer than 3 this year), based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jakobi Meyers · Under 39.5 rec yds Hit · 33
Details
DraftKings: Under 39.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 37. Small edges add up.
Chase Brown · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 11
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-140).
Our number: 3.2. JAX gives up a lot to running backs.
Parker Washington · Under 70.5 rec yds Hit · 7
Details
Fanatics: Under 70.5 rec yds (-105).
Our number: 63. His playing time is going up.
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-107).
Our number: 5.7. His playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: JAX by 3.1. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 44 (CIN 21, JAX 24). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Bhayshul Tuten · 50+ rushing yards Hit · 73
Fair price for our chance: -301.
Tee Higgins · 3+ receptions Hit · 11
Fair price for our chance: -268. Other rungs: 4+ about 66% (fair -195).
Chase Brown · 2+ receptions Hit · 11
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Tuten 50+ + Higgins 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · Tuten 50+ + Higgins 3+ + Brown 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +152.
Pregame leans for CIN
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Chase Brown · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 11
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 3
Pregame leans for JAX
Jakobi Meyers · Under 39.5 rec yds Hit · 33
Parker Washington · Under 70.5 rec yds Hit · 7