LA @ PHI
Week 4 · Final: LA 24, PHI 20
DeVonta Smith · Under 66.5 rec yds Did not play
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Dallas Goedert · 2+ receptions Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
DeVonta Smith · Under 66.5 rec yds Did not play
Details
DraftKings: Under 66.5 rec yds (-112).
Our number: 62. LA is tough on receivers.
Makai Lemon · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+111).
Our number: 2. LA is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Davante Adams · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-151).
Our number: 4.9. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jalen Hurts · Under 24.5 rush yds Hit · 18
Details
DraftKings: Under 24.5 rush yds (-108).
Our number: 20. LA is tough on quarterbacks, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Saquon Barkley · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (+130).
Our number: 1. LA gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No edge. Our number: LA by 2.4, close to the line.
We expect about 43 (PHI 20, LA 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Dallas Goedert · 2+ receptions Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -282.
Pregame leans for PHI
DeVonta Smith · Under 66.5 rec yds Did not play
Makai Lemon · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Jalen Hurts · Under 24.5 rush yds Hit · 18
Saquon Barkley · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Pregame leans for LA
Davante Adams · Over 4.5 receptions Miss · 4