LAC @ SEA
Week 4 · Final: LAC 23, SEA 30
AJ Barner · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 100+ receiving yards Miss research
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Push
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
AJ Barner · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+138).
Our number: 2.4. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Emanuel Wilson · Under 39.5 rush yds Miss · 81
Details
DraftKings: Under 39.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 39. LAC gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Cooper Kupp · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-138).
Our number: 2.4. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Tre Harris · Over 2.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Over 2.5 receptions (-153).
Our number: 2.8. His playing time is going down.
Jadarian Price · Under 1.5 receptions Did not play
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (-108).
Our number: 1.1. His playing time is going down.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: SEA by 11.7. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 39 (SEA 25, LAC 14). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 100+ receiving yards Miss · 76
Fair price for our chance: -304. Other rungs: 110+ about 60% (fair -151).
Pregame leans for SEA
AJ Barner · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Emanuel Wilson · Under 39.5 rush yds Miss · 81
Cooper Kupp · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Jadarian Price · Under 1.5 receptions Did not play
Pregame leans for LAC
Tre Harris · Over 2.5 receptions Hit · 3