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NYJ @ CHI

Week 4 · Final: NYJ 12, CHI 23

Best bet

Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 6

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Rome Odunze · 30+ receiving yards Hit research

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No edge

Pregame leans
?The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.

Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.

1

Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 6

Details

DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-108).

Our number: 2.5. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.

2

Isaiah Williams · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2

Details

DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-117).

Our number: 2.4. CHI is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.

3

Garrett Wilson · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 3

Details

DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-122).

Our number: 6.1. CHI is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.

4

Luther Burden III · Under 46.5 rec yds Miss · 63

Details

DraftKings: Under 46.5 rec yds (-114).

Our number: 42. NYJ is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

5

D'Andre Swift · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2

Details

DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-170).

Our number: 2.1. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

Game call

Spread

No edge. Our number: CHI by 6.1, close to the line.

Total points

We expect about 46 (CHI 26, NYJ 20). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.

19.6NYJ score a game
20.4CHI allow a game
25.7CHI score a game
21.4NYJ allow a game

More options

Safer bets (alt lines) · research
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.

Rome Odunze · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 94

Fair price for our chance: -290.

Breece Hall · 25+ rushing yards Did not play

Fair price for our chance: -284.

Caleb Williams · 150+ passing yards Did not play

Fair price for our chance: -273. Other rungs: 175+ about 68% (fair -213).

Pregame leans for CHI

1

Rome Odunze · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 6

2

Luther Burden III · Under 46.5 rec yds Miss · 63

3

D'Andre Swift · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2

Pregame leans for NYJ

1

Isaiah Williams · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2

2

Garrett Wilson · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 3