PIT @ CLE
Week 4 · Final: PIT 24, CLE 27
Denzel Boston · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Pat Freiermuth · 30+ receiving yards Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Denzel Boston · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+128).
Our number: 2.5. Small edges add up.
DK Metcalf · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+100).
Our number: 3. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jaylen Warren · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-151).
Our number: 3.1. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 40.5 rec yds Hit · 27
Details
DraftKings: Under 40.5 rec yds (-109).
Our number: 35. PIT is tough on tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-114).
Our number: 2.9. CLE gives up a lot to tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: CLE by 1.5. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 38 (CLE 20, PIT 18). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Pat Freiermuth · 30+ receiving yards Miss · 17
Fair price for our chance: -276.
Jaylen Warren · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -255.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Freiermuth 30+ + Warren 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -106.
Pregame leans for CLE
Denzel Boston · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 40.5 rec yds Hit · 27
Pregame leans for PIT
DK Metcalf · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Jaylen Warren · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Pat Freiermuth · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3