BAL @ ATL
Week 5 · Final: BAL 30, ATL 23
Derrick Henry · Under 85.5 rush yds Miss · 102
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Mark Andrews · 3+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Derrick Henry · Under 85.5 rush yds Miss · 102
Details
DraftKings: Under 85.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 85. ATL is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him.
Mark Andrews · Under 30.5 rec yds Hit · 28
Details
DraftKings: Under 30.5 rec yds (-113).
Our number: 30. Expected game flow works against him.
Drake London · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (+108).
Our number: 5. BAL gives up a lot to receivers.
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-104).
Our number: 3. Small edges add up.
Kyle Pitts · Under 24.5 rec yds Miss · 42
Details
DraftKings: Under 24.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 14. BAL is tough on tight ends.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: BAL by 1.7. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 48 (ATL 23, BAL 25). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Mark Andrews · 3+ receptions Hit · 4
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Lamar Jackson · 15+ rushing yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 20+ about 65% (fair -188).
Bijan Robinson · 70+ rushing yards Hit · 86
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 80+ about 60% (fair -149).
Pregame leans for ATL
Drake London · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 7
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 4
Kyle Pitts · Under 24.5 rec yds Miss · 42
Pregame leans for BAL
Derrick Henry · Under 85.5 rush yds Miss · 102
Mark Andrews · Under 30.5 rec yds Hit · 28