CHI @ GB
Week 5 · Final: CHI 7, GB 31
Luther Burden III · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Rome Odunze · 2+ receptions Hit research
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Luther Burden III · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-105).
Our number: 4.3. GB gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Rome Odunze · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-162).
Our number: 3.5. GB gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Christian Watson · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-147).
Our number: 4.1. CHI is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Matthew Golden · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-116).
Our number: 3.9. CHI is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
MarShawn Lloyd · Under 27.5 rush yds Miss · 31
Details
DraftKings: Under 27.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 21. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: CHI by 9.0. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 44 (GB 18, CHI 27). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Rome Odunze · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -277.
Matthew Golden · 3+ receptions Hit · 6
Fair price for our chance: -274.
Luther Burden III · 3+ receptions Hit · 4
Fair price for our chance: -272.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Odunze 2+ + Golden 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -111.
3-leg parlay · Odunze 2+ + Golden 3+ + III 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +154.
Pregame leans for GB
Christian Watson · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Matthew Golden · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
MarShawn Lloyd · Under 27.5 rush yds Miss · 31
Pregame leans for CHI
Luther Burden III · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Rome Odunze · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3