CIN @ MIA
Week 5 · Final: CIN 31, MIA 24
Malik Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Tee Higgins · 3+ receptions Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Malik Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
Fanatics: Under 4.5 receptions (-110).
Our number: 4.2. CIN is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Chase Brown · Under 66.5 rush yds Hit · 39
Details
DraftKings: Under 66.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 55. Expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Greg Dulcich · Over 25.5 rec yds Hit · 37
Details
Fanatics: Over 25.5 rec yds (-135).
Our number: 31. CIN gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Ollie Gordon II · Over 1.5 receptions Miss · 0
Details
DraftKings: Over 1.5 receptions (-177).
Our number: 1.7. CIN gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Malik Willis · Under 33.5 rush yds Miss · 74
Details
DraftKings: Under 33.5 rush yds (-116).
Our number: 18. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: CIN by 7.8, close to the line.
We expect about 42 (MIA 17, CIN 25). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Tee Higgins · 3+ receptions Miss · 2
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 4+ about 66% (fair -195).
Chase Brown · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 3+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Higgins 3+ + Brown 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -107.
Pregame leans for MIA
Malik Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Greg Dulcich · Over 25.5 rec yds Hit · 37
Ollie Gordon II · Over 1.5 receptions Miss · 0
Malik Willis · Under 33.5 rush yds Miss · 74
Pregame leans for CIN
Chase Brown · Under 66.5 rush yds Hit · 39