CLE @ NYJ
Week 5 · Final: CLE 12, NYJ 17
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 36.5 rec yds Hit · 4
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Breece Hall · 25+ rushing yards Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 36.5 rec yds Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 36.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 32. NYJ is tough on tight ends, expected game flow works against him.
Deshaun Watson · Under 25.5 rush yds Miss · 40
Details
Fanatics: Under 25.5 rush yds (-105).
Our number: 22. NYJ is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him.
KC Concepcion · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-136).
Our number: 3.8. Expected game flow works against him, his playing time is going up.
Denzel Boston · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-149).
Our number: 2.8. Expected game flow works against him.
Garrett Wilson · Under 69.5 rec yds Miss · 104
Details
DraftKings: Under 69.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 51. CLE gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No edge. Our number: NYJ by 2.4, close to the line.
We expect about 43 (NYJ 23, CLE 20). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Breece Hall · 25+ rushing yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -341. Other rungs: 30+ about 62% (fair -163).
KC Concepcion · 3+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Harold Fannin Jr. · 20+ receiving yards Miss · 4
Fair price for our chance: -252.
Pregame leans for NYJ
Garrett Wilson · Under 69.5 rec yds Miss · 104
Pregame leans for CLE
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 36.5 rec yds Hit · 4
Deshaun Watson · Under 25.5 rush yds Miss · 40
KC Concepcion · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 1
Denzel Boston · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3