DET @ ARI
Week 5 · Final: DET 45, ARI 21
Jameson Williams · Under 53.5 rec yds Hit · 47
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jared Goff · 225+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Jameson Williams · Under 53.5 rec yds Hit · 47
Details
DraftKings: Under 53.5 rec yds (-113).
Our number: 53. ARI gives up a lot to receivers, his playing time is going up.
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 7.5 receptions (-135).
Our number: 6.9. ARI is tough on receivers, his playing time is going up.
Trey McBride · Over 7.5 receptions Hit · 9
Details
DraftKings: Over 7.5 receptions (-135).
Our number: 8.3. DET gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Michael Wilson · Under 73.5 rec yds Hit · 30
Details
DraftKings: Under 73.5 rec yds (-112).
Our number: 60. DET gives up a lot to receivers, expected game flow helps him.
Isaac TeSlaa · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-158).
Our number: 2.1. ARI is tough on receivers, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: DET by 0.6. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 57 (ARI 28, DET 29). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jared Goff · 225+ passing yards Hit · 271
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 250+ about 67% (fair -207) · 275+ about 65% (fair -189).
Amon-Ra St. Brown · 5+ receptions Hit · 6
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 6+ about 66% (fair -195) · 7+ about 62% (fair -162).
Trey McBride · 8+ receptions Hit · 9
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Goff 225+ + Brown 5+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -107.
3-leg parlay · Goff 225+ + Brown 5+ + McBride 8+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +160.
Pregame leans for ARI
Trey McBride · Over 7.5 receptions Hit · 9
Michael Wilson · Under 73.5 rec yds Hit · 30
Pregame leans for DET
Jameson Williams · Under 53.5 rec yds Hit · 47
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 6
Isaac TeSlaa · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 0