LV @ NE
Week 5 · Final: LV 17, NE 45
Romeo Doubs · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Tre Tucker · 20+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Romeo Doubs · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+121).
Our number: 3.2. LV is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him.
Ashton Jeanty · Under 55.5 rush yds Hit · 27
Details
Fanatics: Under 55.5 rush yds (-105).
Our number: 54. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Hunter Henry · Under 37.5 rec yds Miss · 44
Details
DraftKings: Under 37.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 32. LV is tough on tight ends, expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going down.
Drake Maye · Under 31.5 rush yds Hit · 25
Details
DraftKings: Under 31.5 rush yds (-113).
Our number: 26. LV gives up a lot to quarterbacks, expected game flow helps him.
DeMario Douglas · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-115).
Our number: 1.5. LV is tough on receivers, expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going down.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: LV by 4.4. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 41 (NE 18, LV 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Tre Tucker · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 41
Fair price for our chance: -339. Other rungs: 30+ about 63% (fair -173).
Kirk Cousins · 175+ passing yards Hit · 243
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 200+ about 66% (fair -195).
Hunter Henry · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 3+ about 64% (fair -178).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Tucker 20+ + Cousins 175+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -121.
3-leg parlay · Tucker 20+ + Cousins 175+ + Henry 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +145.
Pregame leans for NE
Romeo Doubs · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Hunter Henry · Under 37.5 rec yds Miss · 44
Drake Maye · Under 31.5 rush yds Hit · 25
DeMario Douglas · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Pregame leans for LV
Ashton Jeanty · Under 55.5 rush yds Hit · 27