Sign inGet Pro

NYG @ WAS

Week 5 · Final: NYG 27, WAS 27

Best bet

Malik Nabers · Under 55.5 rec yds Miss · 121

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Antonio Williams · 2+ receptions Hit research

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No lean shown Hit

Pregame leans
?The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.

Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.

1

Malik Nabers · Under 55.5 rec yds Miss · 121

Details

Fanatics: Under 55.5 rec yds (-125).

Our number: 53. WAS gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.

2

Isaiah Likely · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 11

Details

DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-125).

Our number: 4.1. WAS is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

3

Cam Skattebo · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 59

Details

DraftKings: Under 57.5 rush yds (-110).

Our number: 51. WAS is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

4

Malachi Fields · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2

Details

DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-161).

Our number: 1.9. WAS gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.

5

Jacory Croskey-Merritt · Under 55.5 rush yds Miss · 82

Details

Fanatics: Under 55.5 rush yds (-115).

Our number: 41. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.

Game call

Spread

No lean shown. Our number: NYG by 0.8. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).

Total points

We expect about 45 (WAS 22, NYG 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.

23.3NYG score a game
28.7WAS allow a game
22.0WAS score a game
23.0NYG allow a game

More options

Safer bets (alt lines) · research
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.

Antonio Williams · 2+ receptions Hit · 3

Fair price for our chance: -301.

Malik Nabers · 3+ receptions Hit · 11

Fair price for our chance: -272. Other rungs: 4+ about 68% (fair -208) · 5+ about 63% (fair -170).

Isaiah Likely · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 94

Fair price for our chance: -257. Other rungs: 30+ about 65% (fair -189).

Small parlays · research

2-leg parlay · Williams 2+ + Nabers 3+ Hit

Fair price for our chance: -115.

3-leg parlay · Williams 2+ + Nabers 3+ + Likely 20+ Hit

Fair price for our chance: +153.

Pregame leans for WAS

1

Jacory Croskey-Merritt · Under 55.5 rush yds Miss · 82

Pregame leans for NYG

1

Malik Nabers · Under 55.5 rec yds Miss · 121

2

Isaiah Likely · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 11

3

Cam Skattebo · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 59

4

Malachi Fields · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2