PHI @ JAX
Week 5 · Final: PHI 17, JAX 19
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 47.5 rec yds Miss · 63
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Makai Lemon · 2+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 47.5 rec yds Miss · 63
Details
FanDuel: Under 47.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 46. JAX gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Brian Thomas Jr. · Under 25.5 rec yds Hit · 0
Details
Fanatics: Under 25.5 rec yds (-120).
Our number: 24. His playing time is going up.
Jakobi Meyers · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-107).
Our number: 3.1. PHI gives up a lot to receivers.
Parker Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
Fanatics: Under 4.5 receptions (-110).
Our number: 3.8. PHI gives up a lot to receivers.
Brenton Strange · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-137).
Our number: 2.9. PHI is tough on tight ends, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: JAX by 12.4. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 42 (JAX 27, PHI 15). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Makai Lemon · 2+ receptions Hit · 5
Fair price for our chance: -270.
DeVonta Smith · 3+ receptions Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 4+ about 66% (fair -195) · 5+ about 64% (fair -176).
Dontayvion Wicks · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 63
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 30+ about 59% (fair -142).
Pregame leans for JAX
Brian Thomas Jr. · Under 25.5 rec yds Hit · 0
Jakobi Meyers · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Parker Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Brenton Strange · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 7
Pregame leans for PHI
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 47.5 rec yds Miss · 63