SF @ SEA
Week 5 · Final: SF 32, SEA 29
Emanuel Wilson · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 2
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Christian McCaffrey · 3+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Emanuel Wilson · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (+120).
Our number: 1.4. SF gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-105).
Our number: 6.2. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
George Kittle · Under 53.5 rec yds Hit · 24
Details
DraftKings: Under 53.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 51. SEA is tough on tight ends, expected game flow works against him, his playing time is going up.
Christian McCaffrey · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+101).
Our number: 3.9. SEA gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, his playing time is going up.
Mike Evans · Under 48.5 rec yds Miss · 113
Details
DraftKings: Under 48.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 41. SEA is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: SF by 2.6. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 47 (SEA 22, SF 25). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Christian McCaffrey · 3+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -301.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 5+ receptions Hit · 5
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 6+ about 64% (fair -179).
George Kittle · 3+ receptions Hit · 5
Fair price for our chance: -226.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · McCaffrey 3+ + Smith-Njigba 5+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · McCaffrey 3+ + Smith-Njigba 5+ + Kittle 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +164.
Pregame leans for SEA
Emanuel Wilson · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 5
Pregame leans for SF
George Kittle · Under 53.5 rec yds Hit · 24
Christian McCaffrey · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Mike Evans · Under 48.5 rec yds Miss · 113