TB @ DAL
Week 5 · Final: TB 24, DAL 16
Bucky Irving · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 165
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Javonte Williams · 2+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Bucky Irving · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 165
Details
DraftKings: Under 57.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 52. Expected game flow works against him.
Jake Ferguson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-124).
Our number: 3. TB gives up a lot to tight ends.
Kenny Gainwell · Over 1.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Over 1.5 receptions (-155).
Our number: 1.6. DAL is tough on running backs.
George Pickens · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 9
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-117).
Our number: 3.7. TB is tough on receivers.
Javonte Williams · Under 72.5 rush yds Hit · 45
Details
DraftKings: Under 72.5 rush yds (-111).
Our number: 54. TB is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: DAL by 5.3. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 50 (DAL 28, TB 22). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Javonte Williams · 2+ receptions Hit · 2
Fair price for our chance: -313. Other rungs: 3+ about 61% (fair -154).
Baker Mayfield · 175+ passing yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -304. Other rungs: 200+ about 59% (fair -142).
Emeka Egbuka · 3+ receptions Hit · 6
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Pregame leans for DAL
Jake Ferguson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
George Pickens · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 9
Javonte Williams · Under 72.5 rush yds Hit · 45
Pregame leans for TB
Bucky Irving · Under 57.5 rush yds Miss · 165
Kenny Gainwell · Over 1.5 receptions Hit · 3