ARI @ LA
Week 6 · Final: ARI 18, LA 16
Davante Adams · Under 57.5 rec yds Hit · 39
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Davante Adams · 20+ receiving yards Hit research
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Davante Adams · Under 57.5 rec yds Hit · 39
Details
DraftKings: Under 57.5 rec yds (-112).
Our number: 57. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Kyren Williams · Under 67.5 rush yds Hit · 50
Details
DraftKings: Under 67.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 66. ARI gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Kendrick Bourne · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-168).
Our number: 3.5. LA is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Trey McBride · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 7.5 receptions (-150).
Our number: 6.9. LA is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Michael Wilson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-130).
Our number: 4.7. LA is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: LA by 8.8. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 51 (LA 30, ARI 21). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Arizona Cardinals at 19.5; we expect about 21. No lean shown.
FanDuel has Los Angeles Rams at 31.5; we expect about 30. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Davante Adams · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 39
Fair price for our chance: -337. Other rungs: 30+ about 60% (fair -151).
Kyren Williams · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -296. Other rungs: 3+ about 64% (fair -180) · 4+ about 60% (fair -151).
Trey McBride · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 53
Fair price for our chance: -271. Other rungs: 40+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Adams 20+ + Williams 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -129.
3-leg parlay · Adams 20+ + Williams 2+ + McBride 30+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +137.
Pregame leans for LA
Davante Adams · Under 57.5 rec yds Hit · 39
Kyren Williams · Under 67.5 rush yds Hit · 50
Pregame leans for ARI
Kendrick Bourne · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Trey McBride · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 7
Michael Wilson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 4