BAL @ CLE
Week 6 · Final: BAL 10, CLE 13
Denzel Boston · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Mark Andrews · 3+ receptions Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Denzel Boston · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-113).
Our number: 3.1. BAL gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Deshaun Watson · Under 29.5 rush yds Hit · 29
Details
DraftKings: Under 29.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 23. BAL is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 35.5 rec yds Hit · 9
Details
DraftKings: Under 35.5 rec yds (-113).
Our number: 26. BAL is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Derrick Henry · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (-135).
Our number: 1.1. CLE is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him.
Justice Hill · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
Fanatics: Under 1.5 receptions (-110).
Our number: 1. CLE is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him.
Quinshon Judkins · Under 55.5 rush yds Void
Void: player inactive. Inactive (Foot), ESPN 2026-10-18. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Raheim Sanders · Under 2.5 receptions Void
Void: player inactive. Injured Reserve (Hip), ESPN 2026-10-13. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No edge. Our number: BAL by 4.2, close to the line.
We expect about 46 (CLE 21, BAL 25). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Baltimore Ravens at 20.5; we expect about 25. No lean shown. Miss
FanDuel has Cleveland Browns at 18.5; we expect about 21. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Mark Andrews · 3+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -292.
Denzel Boston · 40+ receiving yards Miss · 15
Fair price for our chance: -270. Other rungs: 50+ about 60% (fair -151) · 51+ about 60% (fair -151).
Derrick Henry · 70+ rushing yards Miss · 58
Fair price for our chance: -268. Other rungs: 80+ about 61% (fair -155).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Andrews 3+ + Boston 40+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -113.
3-leg parlay · Andrews 3+ + Boston 40+ + Henry 70+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +152.
Pregame leans for CLE
Denzel Boston · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 1
Deshaun Watson · Under 29.5 rush yds Hit · 29
Harold Fannin Jr. · Under 35.5 rec yds Hit · 9
Pregame leans for BAL
Derrick Henry · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Justice Hill · Under 1.5 receptions Miss · 3