CAR @ PHI
Week 6 · Final: CAR 25, PHI 14
Chuba Hubbard · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Darren Waller · 2+ receptions Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Chuba Hubbard · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-112).
Our number: 2.5. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Dallas Goedert · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-106).
Our number: 3.3. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 64.5 rec yds Miss · 86
Details
DraftKings: Under 64.5 rec yds (-110).
Our number: 58. PHI gives up a lot to receivers, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Bryce Young · Under 9.5 rush yds Hit · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 9.5 rush yds (-110).
Our number: 2. PHI is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Darren Waller · Over 2.5 receptions Miss · 0
Details
DraftKings: Over 2.5 receptions (-145).
Our number: 3.1. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jalen Hurts · Over 155.5 pass yds Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Calf), ESPN 2026-10-15. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No edge. Our number: CAR by 4.2, close to the line.
We expect about 47 (PHI 22, CAR 26). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Carolina Panthers at 20.5; we expect about 26. No lean shown. Hit
FanDuel has Philadelphia Eagles at 17.5; we expect about 22. No lean shown. Miss
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Darren Waller · 2+ receptions Miss · 0
Fair price for our chance: -289.
Bryce Young · 250+ passing yards Hit · 281
Fair price for our chance: -279. Other rungs: 225+ about 81% (fair -435) · 236+ about 76% (fair -322).
Dontayvion Wicks · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 24
Fair price for our chance: -274. Other rungs: 30+ about 61% (fair -156).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Waller 2+ + Young 250+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · Waller 2+ + Young 250+ + Wicks 20+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +149.
Pregame leans for PHI
Dallas Goedert · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 6
Pregame leans for CAR
Chuba Hubbard · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 64.5 rec yds Miss · 86
Bryce Young · Under 9.5 rush yds Hit · 6
Darren Waller · Over 2.5 receptions Miss · 0