CHI @ ATL
Week 6 · Final: CHI 31, ATL 23
Drake London · Under 92.5 rec yds Hit · 62
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Michael Penix Jr. · 200+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Drake London · Under 92.5 rec yds Hit · 62
Details
DraftKings: Under 92.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 91. His playing time is going up.
D'Andre Swift · Under 67.5 rush yds Hit · 44
Details
DraftKings: Under 67.5 rush yds (-113).
Our number: 67. ATL is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Luther Burden III · Under 50.5 rec yds Miss · 95
Details
DraftKings: Under 50.5 rec yds (-115).
Our number: 50. ATL gives up a lot to receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Rome Odunze · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
Lucky win: 1 catch wiped out by penalties.
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-173).
Our number: 3.4. ATL gives up a lot to receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-103).
Our number: 2.9. CHI is tough on running backs, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No edge. Our number: CHI by 0.5, close to the line.
We expect about 45 (ATL 22, CHI 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Chicago Bears at 26.5; we expect about 23. No lean shown. Miss
FanDuel has Atlanta Falcons at 26.5; we expect about 22. No lean shown. Hit
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Michael Penix Jr. · 200+ passing yards Hit · 225
Fair price for our chance: -317. Other rungs: 225+ about 60% (fair -151).
Kalif Raymond · 3+ receptions Miss · 2
Fair price for our chance: -280. Other rungs: 4+ about 62% (fair -161).
Drake London · 40+ receiving yards Hit · 62
Fair price for our chance: -269. Other rungs: 50+ about 63% (fair -170) · 60+ about 61% (fair -153) · 70+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Jr. 200+ + Raymond 3+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -121.
3-leg parlay · Jr. 200+ + Raymond 3+ + London 40+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +145.
Pregame leans for ATL
Drake London · Under 92.5 rec yds Hit · 62
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 2
Pregame leans for CHI
D'Andre Swift · Under 67.5 rush yds Hit · 44
Luther Burden III · Under 50.5 rec yds Miss · 95
Rome Odunze · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 3