NO @ NYG
Week 6 · Final: NO 34, NYG 27
Malik Nabers · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 12
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Chris Olave · 5+ receptions Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Malik Nabers · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 12
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (+106).
Our number: 5.5. NO is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Chris Olave · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (-144).
Our number: 6.5. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Juwan Johnson · Under 41.5 rec yds Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 41.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 41. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Malachi Fields · Under 24.5 rec yds Hit · 19
Details
DraftKings: Under 24.5 rec yds (-109).
Our number: 23. NO is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Devaughn Vele · Under 40.5 rec yds Miss · 42
Details
Fanatics: Under 40.5 rec yds (-120).
Our number: 39. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: NYG by 5.1. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 48 (NYG 27, NO 21). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has New Orleans Saints at 23.5; we expect about 21. No lean shown.
FanDuel has New York Giants at 22.5; we expect about 27. No lean shown. Hit
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Chris Olave · 5+ receptions Miss · 4
Fair price for our chance: -273. Other rungs: 4+ about 79% (fair -385) · 6+ about 66% (fair -195) · 7+ about 61% (fair -158).
Isaiah Likely · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 99
Fair price for our chance: -272. Other rungs: 20+ about 76% (fair -308) · 40+ about 62% (fair -162).
Juwan Johnson · 4+ receptions Miss · 0
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Olave 5+ + Likely 30+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -109.
3-leg parlay · Olave 5+ + Likely 30+ + Johnson 4+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +157.
Pregame leans for NYG
Malik Nabers · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 12
Malachi Fields · Under 24.5 rec yds Hit · 19
Pregame leans for NO
Chris Olave · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 4
Juwan Johnson · Under 41.5 rec yds Hit · 0
Devaughn Vele · Under 40.5 rec yds Miss · 42