NYJ @ NE
Week 6 · Final: NYJ 19, NE 26
Hunter Henry · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Rhamondre Stevenson · 2+ receptions Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Hunter Henry · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+121).
Our number: 2.5. NYJ is tough on tight ends, his playing time is going down.
Rhamondre Stevenson · Over 2.5 receptions Miss · 0
Details
DraftKings: Over 2.5 receptions (-159).
Our number: 2.6. Expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Braelon Allen · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 78
Details
Fanatics: Under 65.5 rush yds (-125).
Our number: 57. NE is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Garrett Wilson · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
Fanatics: Under 6.5 receptions (-140).
Our number: 5.3. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Drake Maye · Under 28.5 rush yds Hit · 24
Details
DraftKings: Under 28.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 22. NYJ is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow helps him.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: NE by 3.5. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 41 (NE 22, NYJ 19). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has New York Jets at 16.5; we expect about 19. No lean shown.
FanDuel has New England Patriots at 26.5; we expect about 22. No lean shown. Hit
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Rhamondre Stevenson · 2+ receptions Miss · 0
Fair price for our chance: -268.
Hunter Henry · 2+ receptions Hit · 4
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Mack Hollins · 2+ receptions Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Stevenson 2+ + Henry 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -107.
Pregame leans for NE
Hunter Henry · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Rhamondre Stevenson · Over 2.5 receptions Miss · 0
Drake Maye · Under 28.5 rush yds Hit · 24
Pregame leans for NYJ
Braelon Allen · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 78
Garrett Wilson · Under 6.5 receptions Hit · 4