SEA @ DEN
Week 6 · Final: SEA 14, DEN 17
Evan Engram · Under 20.5 rec yds Hit · 13
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 60+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Evan Engram · Under 20.5 rec yds Hit · 13
Details
DraftKings: Under 20.5 rec yds (-110).
Our number: 19. SEA is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Emanuel Wilson · Under 69.5 rush yds Hit · 52
Details
DraftKings: Under 69.5 rush yds (-115).
Our number: 63. DEN gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
J.K. Dobbins · Under 49.5 rush yds Hit · 41
Details
DraftKings: Under 49.5 rush yds (-113).
Our number: 43. SEA is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 12
Details
DraftKings: Under 6.5 receptions (+107).
Our number: 5.2. DEN is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
AJ Barner · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3
Details
Fanatics: Under 2.5 receptions (+120).
Our number: 1.9. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No edge. Our number: SEA by 2.3, close to the line.
We expect about 40 (DEN 19, SEA 21). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Seattle Seahawks at 21.5; we expect about 21. No lean shown.
FanDuel has Denver Broncos at 19.5; we expect about 19. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 60+ receiving yards Hit · 134
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 70+ about 66% (fair -195).
RJ Harvey · 2+ receptions Hit · 3
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 3+ about 66% (fair -195).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Smith-Njigba 60+ + Harvey 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -107.
Pregame leans for DEN
Evan Engram · Under 20.5 rec yds Hit · 13
J.K. Dobbins · Under 49.5 rush yds Hit · 41
Pregame leans for SEA
Emanuel Wilson · Under 69.5 rush yds Hit · 52
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Under 6.5 receptions Miss · 12
AJ Barner · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 3