TEN @ IND
Week 6 · Final: TEN 26, IND 20
Tony Pollard · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 0
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jonathan Taylor · 60+ rushing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Tony Pollard · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (+111).
Our number: 1.4. Small edges add up.
Wan'Dale Robinson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-127).
Our number: 4.3. Expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Josh Downs · Under 48.5 rec yds Hit · 40
Details
DraftKings: Under 48.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 46. TEN gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Carnell Tate · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-115).
Our number: 4.2. Expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going down.
Jonathan Taylor · Under 90.5 rush yds Miss · 94
Details
DraftKings: Under 90.5 rush yds (-112).
Our number: 82. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Tyler Warren · Under 59.5 rec yds Void
Void: player inactive. Inactive (Groin), ESPN 2026-10-18. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No edge. Our number: IND by 5.3, close to the line.
We expect about 42 (IND 24, TEN 19). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Tennessee Titans at 18.5; we expect about 19. No lean shown.
FanDuel has Indianapolis Colts at 26.5; we expect about 24. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jonathan Taylor · 60+ rushing yards Hit · 94
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 50+ about 75% (fair -300) · 70+ about 60% (fair -151).
Tony Pollard · 40+ rushing yards Hit · 76
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Josh Downs · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 40
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 20+ about 74% (fair -291).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Taylor 60+ + Pollard 40+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -107.
3-leg parlay · Taylor 60+ + Pollard 40+ + Downs 30+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +160.
Pregame leans for IND
Josh Downs · Under 48.5 rec yds Hit · 40
Jonathan Taylor · Under 90.5 rush yds Miss · 94
Pregame leans for TEN
Tony Pollard · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 0
Wan'Dale Robinson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Carnell Tate · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6