WAS @ SF
Week 6 · Final: WAS 17, SF 23
Chig Okonkwo · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 7
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Brock Purdy · 10+ rushing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Chig Okonkwo · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (+118).
Our number: 2.4. SF is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Rachaad White · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-140).
Our number: 2.4. SF gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Christian McCaffrey · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 64
Details
Fanatics: Under 60.5 rush yds (-125).
Our number: 59. WAS is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him, his playing time is going up.
Mike Evans · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-123).
Our number: 4.8. WAS gives up a lot to receivers, his playing time is going up.
Terry McLaurin · Under 44.5 rec yds Hit · 27
Details
DraftKings: Under 44.5 rec yds (-111).
Our number: 39. SF is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt · Under 1.5 receptions Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Groin), ESPN 2026-10-17. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt · Over 39.5 rush yds Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Groin), ESPN 2026-10-17. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: SF by 12.5. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 51 (SF 32, WAS 19). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Washington Commanders at 21.5; we expect about 19. No lean shown.
FanDuel has San Francisco 49ers at 30.5; we expect about 32. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Brock Purdy · 10+ rushing yards Hit · 28
Fair price for our chance: -289. Other rungs: 20+ about 64% (fair -174).
Christian McCaffrey · 40+ rushing yards Hit · 64
Fair price for our chance: -276. Other rungs: 30+ about 81% (fair -432) · 50+ about 66% (fair -195).
Mike Evans · 40+ receiving yards Hit · 94
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 50+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Purdy 10+ + McCaffrey 40+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -114.
3-leg parlay · Purdy 10+ + McCaffrey 40+ + Evans 40+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +152.
Pregame leans for SF
Christian McCaffrey · Under 60.5 rush yds Miss · 64
Mike Evans · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 3
Pregame leans for WAS
Chig Okonkwo · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 7
Rachaad White · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Terry McLaurin · Under 44.5 rec yds Hit · 27