CIN @ BAL
Week 7 · Final: CIN 35, BAL 13
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Mark Andrews · 20+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-124).
Our number: 2.5. BAL is tough on tight ends.
Samaje Perine · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (+119).
Our number: 1.3. His playing time is going up.
Derrick Henry · Under 85.5 rush yds Hit · 45
Details
DraftKings: Under 85.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 79. Expected game flow works against him.
Tee Higgins · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 6
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-149).
Our number: 5.1. BAL gives up a lot to receivers, his playing time is going down.
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 5
Details
Fanatics: Under 7.5 receptions (-150).
Our number: 5.4. BAL gives up a lot to receivers, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: BAL by 2.3. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 48 (BAL 25, CIN 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Mark Andrews · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 23
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 15+ about 73% (fair -276) · 25+ about 60% (fair -151).
Chase Brown · 2+ receptions Hit · 4
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Zay Flowers · 55+ receiving yards Hit · 137
Fair price for our chance: -265. Other rungs: 45+ about 73% (fair -272) · 60+ about 60% (fair -153) · 65+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Andrews 20+ + Brown 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -107.
3-leg parlay · Andrews 20+ + Brown 2+ + Flowers 55+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +161.
Pregame leans for BAL
Derrick Henry · Under 85.5 rush yds Hit · 45
Pregame leans for CIN
Mike Gesicki · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Samaje Perine · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 0
Tee Higgins · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 6
Ja'Marr Chase · Under 7.5 receptions Hit · 5