DAL @ PHI
Week 7 · Final: DAL 38, PHI 21
Jake Ferguson · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 0
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.George Pickens · 30+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Jake Ferguson · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-128).
Our number: 2.3. PHI is tough on tight ends, his playing time is going down.
Dallas Goedert · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-117).
Our number: 4. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
DeVonta Smith · Under 71.5 rec yds Did not play
Details
DraftKings: Under 71.5 rec yds (-113).
Our number: 64. DAL gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Dak Prescott · Under 9.5 rush yds Hit · 8
Details
DraftKings: Under 9.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 8. PHI is tough on quarterbacks.
Javonte Williams · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 155
Details
DraftKings: Under 65.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 56. PHI gives up a lot to running backs.
Dontayvion Wicks · Over 37.5 rec yds Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Ankle), ESPN 2026-10-24. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Jalen Hurts · Under 155.5 pass yds Void
Void: player inactive. missed last week (Calf); hidden until his team's report clears him. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Dontayvion Wicks · Under 3.5 receptions Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Ankle), ESPN 2026-10-24. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No edge. Our number: DAL by 1.7, close to the line.
We expect about 49 (PHI 24, DAL 25). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
George Pickens · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 57
Fair price for our chance: -314. Other rungs: 40+ about 66% (fair -195) · 50+ about 63% (fair -172) · 60+ about 60% (fair -151).
Dontayvion Wicks · 20+ receiving yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -274. Other rungs: 25+ about 65% (fair -182).
CeeDee Lamb · 40+ receiving yards Hit · 74
Fair price for our chance: -272. Other rungs: 50+ about 65% (fair -182) · 60+ about 63% (fair -170).
Pregame leans for PHI
Dallas Goedert · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 5
DeVonta Smith · Under 71.5 rec yds Did not play
Pregame leans for DAL
Jake Ferguson · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 0
Dak Prescott · Under 9.5 rush yds Hit · 8
Javonte Williams · Under 65.5 rush yds Miss · 155