DEN @ ARI
Week 7 · Final: DEN 30, ARI 16
Evan Engram · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jacoby Brissett · 150+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Evan Engram · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-107).
Our number: 2.5. ARI gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Michael Wilson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-124).
Our number: 4.5. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Tyler Allgeier · Under 29.5 rush yds Hit · 19
Details
DraftKings: Under 29.5 rush yds (-116).
Our number: 29. DEN gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
J.K. Dobbins · Under 47.5 rush yds Hit · 23
Details
DraftKings: Under 47.5 rush yds (-109).
Our number: 46. ARI gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Trey McBride · Under 63.5 rec yds Miss · 111
Details
DraftKings: Under 63.5 rec yds (-109).
Our number: 56. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No edge. Our number: DEN by 2.0, close to the line.
We expect about 44 (ARI 21, DEN 23). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jacoby Brissett · 150+ passing yards Hit · 272
Fair price for our chance: -274. Other rungs: 175+ about 63% (fair -171) · 200+ about 59% (fair -146).
Michael Wilson · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 55
Fair price for our chance: -267.
RJ Harvey · 2+ receptions Hit · 2
Fair price for our chance: -233. Other rungs: 3+ about 58% (fair -140).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Brissett 150+ + Wilson 20+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -108.
3-leg parlay · Brissett 150+ + Wilson 20+ + Harvey 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +168.
Pregame leans for ARI
Michael Wilson · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Tyler Allgeier · Under 29.5 rush yds Hit · 19
Trey McBride · Under 63.5 rec yds Miss · 111
Pregame leans for DEN
Evan Engram · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
J.K. Dobbins · Under 47.5 rush yds Hit · 23