GB @ DET
Week 7 · Final: GB 17, DET 20
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Under 7.5 receptions Miss · 9
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jahmyr Gibbs · 4+ receptions Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Under 7.5 receptions Miss · 9
Details
DraftKings: Under 7.5 receptions (-131).
Our number: 7.4. GB gives up a lot to receivers.
Tucker Kraft · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
Fanatics: Under 4.5 receptions (-120).
Our number: 4.2. DET gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Matthew Golden · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-149).
Our number: 5. DET gives up a lot to receivers, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jameson Williams · Over 3.5 receptions Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Over 3.5 receptions (-131).
Our number: 3.6. GB gives up a lot to receivers.
Jahmyr Gibbs · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 5
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-145).
Our number: 4.8. His playing time is going down.
Game call
No edge. Our number: DET by 2.2, close to the line.
We expect about 54 (DET 28, GB 26). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jahmyr Gibbs · 4+ receptions Hit · 5
Fair price for our chance: -303.
Jordan Love · 200+ passing yards Hit · 274
Fair price for our chance: -300. Other rungs: 225+ about 66% (fair -195) · 275+ about 60% (fair -151) · 276+ about 60% (fair -151).
Christian Watson · 40+ receiving yards Hit · 57
Fair price for our chance: -294. Other rungs: 50+ about 66% (fair -195).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Gibbs 4+ + Love 200+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -122.
3-leg parlay · Gibbs 4+ + Love 200+ + Watson 40+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +138.
Pregame leans for DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Under 7.5 receptions Miss · 9
Jameson Williams · Over 3.5 receptions Hit · 5
Jahmyr Gibbs · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 5
Pregame leans for GB
Tucker Kraft · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Matthew Golden · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 6