IND @ MIN
Week 7 · Final: IND 10, MIN 16
Justin Jefferson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 4
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Jonathan Taylor · 50+ rushing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Justin Jefferson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (+101).
Our number: 5.4. IND is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
T.J. Hockenson · Under 35.5 rec yds Hit · 35
Details
DraftKings: Under 35.5 rec yds (-110).
Our number: 33. IND is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Keenan Allen · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-147).
Our number: 4.9. MIN is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jonathan Taylor · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-121).
Our number: 1.9. MIN is tough on running backs, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Josh Downs · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-117).
Our number: 3.3. MIN is tough on receivers, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: MIN by 9.1, close to the line.
We expect about 39 (MIN 24, IND 15). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Jonathan Taylor · 50+ rushing yards Hit · 95
Fair price for our chance: -292. Other rungs: 60+ about 64% (fair -177) · 70+ about 60% (fair -148) · 71+ about 58% (fair -140).
Justin Jefferson · 40+ receiving yards Hit · 44
Fair price for our chance: -270. Other rungs: 50+ about 67% (fair -206).
Aaron Jones · 50+ rushing yards Miss · 26
Fair price for our chance: -268. Other rungs: 60+ about 67% (fair -203).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Taylor 50+ + Jefferson 40+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -113.
3-leg parlay · Taylor 50+ + Jefferson 40+ + Jones 50+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +153.
Pregame leans for MIN
Justin Jefferson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 4
T.J. Hockenson · Under 35.5 rec yds Hit · 35
Pregame leans for IND
Keenan Allen · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 3
Jonathan Taylor · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 2
Josh Downs · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2