LA @ LV
Week 7 · Final: LA 35, LV 21
Ashton Jeanty · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 8
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Davante Adams · 20+ receiving yards Did not play research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Ashton Jeanty · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 8
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-101).
Our number: 3.5. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Puka Nacua · Under 97.5 rec yds Hit · 68
Details
DraftKings: Under 97.5 rec yds (-110).
Our number: 97. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Tre Tucker · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (-142).
Our number: 3.4. LA is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Blake Corum · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 1.5 receptions (-161).
Our number: 1.4. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Kyren Williams · Over 65.5 rush yds Hit · 99
Details
Fanatics: Over 65.5 rush yds (-140).
Our number: 70. LV gives up a lot to running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Davante Adams · Over 40.5 rec yds Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Knee), ESPN 2026-10-19. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: LV by 0.9. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 49 (LV 25, LA 24). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Davante Adams · 20+ receiving yards Did not play
Fair price for our chance: -314. Other rungs: 25+ about 68% (fair -209) · 30+ about 61% (fair -156) · 35+ about 60% (fair -151).
Tyler Higbee · 20+ receiving yards Miss · 14
Fair price for our chance: -285. Other rungs: 30+ about 63% (fair -173) · 40+ about 60% (fair -151).
Matthew Stafford · 225+ passing yards Miss · 195
Fair price for our chance: -284. Other rungs: 200+ about 78% (fair -350) · 275+ about 63% (fair -169) · 300+ about 60% (fair -151).
Pregame leans for LV
Ashton Jeanty · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 8
Tre Tucker · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Pregame leans for LA
Puka Nacua · Under 97.5 rec yds Hit · 68
Blake Corum · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Kyren Williams · Over 65.5 rush yds Hit · 99