MIA @ NYJ
Week 7 · Final: MIA 28, NYJ 25
Kenyon Sadiq · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Geno Smith · 150+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Kenyon Sadiq · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-155).
Our number: 2.5. MIA gives up a lot to tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Garrett Wilson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-102).
Our number: 5. MIA is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Malik Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-157).
Our number: 4.1. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Malik Willis · Under 30.5 rush yds Miss · 37
Details
DraftKings: Under 30.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 26. NYJ is tough on quarterbacks, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Ollie Gordon II · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
Fanatics: Under 1.5 receptions (-125).
Our number: 1.1. NYJ is tough on running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: NYJ by 8.5. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 40 (NYJ 24, MIA 16). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Geno Smith · 150+ passing yards Hit · 287
Fair price for our chance: -282. Other rungs: 175+ about 64% (fair -176) · 200+ about 60% (fair -151).
Garrett Wilson · 30+ receiving yards Miss · 26
Fair price for our chance: -270. Other rungs: 40+ about 63% (fair -167).
Ollie Gordon II · 30+ rushing yards Hit · 103
Fair price for our chance: -266. Other rungs: 40+ about 66% (fair -195).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Smith 150+ + Wilson 30+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -111.
3-leg parlay · Smith 150+ + Wilson 30+ + II 30+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +155.
Pregame leans for NYJ
Kenyon Sadiq · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Garrett Wilson · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Pregame leans for MIA
Malik Washington · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 3
Malik Willis · Under 30.5 rush yds Miss · 37
Ollie Gordon II · Under 1.5 receptions Hit · 1