NE @ CHI
Week 7 · Final: NE 24, CHI 30
Colston Loveland · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 7
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Luther Burden III · 30+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Colston Loveland · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 7
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+130).
Our number: 3.4. NE is tough on tight ends, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Rome Odunze · Under 44.5 rec yds Miss · 69
Details
DraftKings: Under 44.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 44. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
D'Andre Swift · Under 61.5 rush yds Miss · 78
Details
DraftKings: Under 61.5 rush yds (-111).
Our number: 61. NE is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Luther Burden III · Under 58.5 rec yds Miss · 130
Details
DraftKings: Under 58.5 rec yds (-114).
Our number: 52. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Rhamondre Stevenson · Under 43.5 rush yds Hit · 22
Details
DraftKings: Under 43.5 rush yds (-113).
Our number: 37. CHI is tough on running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Game call
No edge. Our number: CHI by 2.4, close to the line.
We expect about 44 (CHI 23, NE 21). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Luther Burden III · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 130
Fair price for our chance: -337. Other rungs: 40+ about 65% (fair -182).
Hunter Henry · 2+ receptions Hit · 7
Fair price for our chance: -301.
Drake Maye · 200+ passing yards Hit · 321
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · III 30+ + Henry 2+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -130.
3-leg parlay · III 30+ + Henry 2+ + Maye 200+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +138.
Pregame leans for CHI
Colston Loveland · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 7
Rome Odunze · Under 44.5 rec yds Miss · 69
D'Andre Swift · Under 61.5 rush yds Miss · 78
Luther Burden III · Under 58.5 rec yds Miss · 130
Pregame leans for NE
Rhamondre Stevenson · Under 43.5 rush yds Hit · 22