NYG @ HOU
Week 7 · Final: NYG 27, HOU 21
Isaiah Likely · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Isaiah Likely · 20+ receiving yards Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Hit
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Isaiah Likely · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-118).
Our number: 5.4. HOU is tough on tight ends, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Nico Collins · Under 65.5 rec yds Hit · 6
Details
Fanatics: Under 65.5 rec yds (-105).
Our number: 64. NYG is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Woody Marks · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
Lucky win: 2 receptions wiped out by penalties.
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-138).
Our number: 2. NYG is tough on running backs, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Cam Skattebo · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
Graded against an estimated line of 2.5, not a sportsbook line.
Our number: 1.6. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Jameis Winston · Under 10.5 rush yds Hit · 4
Details
Graded against an estimated line of 10.5, not a sportsbook line.
Our number: 6. HOU is tough on quarterbacks, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
David Montgomery · Under 22.5 rush yds Void
Void: player inactive. missed last week (Groin); hidden until his team's report clears him. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: HOU by 2.8. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 47 (HOU 25, NYG 22). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Isaiah Likely · 20+ receiving yards Miss · 12
Fair price for our chance: -310. Other rungs: 30+ about 66% (fair -195) · 40+ about 63% (fair -170) · 50+ about 60% (fair -148).
Malik Nabers · 4+ receptions Hit · 7
Fair price for our chance: -273. Other rungs: 5+ about 64% (fair -176).
Dalton Schultz · 2+ receptions Hit · 5
Fair price for our chance: -268.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Likely 20+ + Nabers 4+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -118.
3-leg parlay · Likely 20+ + Nabers 4+ + Schultz 2+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +148.
Pregame leans for HOU
Nico Collins · Under 65.5 rec yds Hit · 6
Woody Marks · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Pregame leans for NYG
Isaiah Likely · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 2
Cam Skattebo · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Jameis Winston · Under 10.5 rush yds Hit · 4