SF @ ATL
Week 7 · Final: SF 20, ATL 29
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Michael Penix Jr. · 200+ passing yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+124).
Our number: 3.2. SF gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Drake London · Under 83.5 rec yds Hit · 66
Details
DraftKings: Under 83.5 rec yds (-112).
Our number: 79. SF is tough on receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Christian McCaffrey · Under 60.5 rush yds Hit · 39
Details
DraftKings: Under 60.5 rush yds (-111).
Our number: 56. ATL is tough on running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Kaelon Black · Under 29.5 rush yds Miss · 63
Details
DraftKings: Under 29.5 rush yds (-116).
Our number: 25. ATL is tough on running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Brock Purdy · Under 20.5 rush yds Hit · 5
Details
Fanatics: Under 20.5 rush yds (-135).
Our number: 18. ATL is tough on quarterbacks, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Deebo Samuel Sr. · Over 2.5 receptions Void
Void: player inactive. missed last week (Hamstring); hidden until his team's report clears him. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Brian Robinson · Over 25.5 rush yds Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Hamstring), ESPN 2026-10-23. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: SF by 7.0. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 48 (ATL 20, SF 27). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Michael Penix Jr. · 200+ passing yards Hit · 213
Fair price for our chance: -293.
Christian McCaffrey · 40+ rushing yards Miss · 39
Fair price for our chance: -279. Other rungs: 50+ about 66% (fair -195).
Brock Purdy · 10+ rushing yards Miss · 5
Fair price for our chance: -274.
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Jr. 200+ + McCaffrey 40+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -115.
3-leg parlay · Jr. 200+ + McCaffrey 40+ + Purdy 10+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +149.
Pregame leans for ATL
Bijan Robinson · Under 3.5 receptions Miss · 5
Drake London · Under 83.5 rec yds Hit · 66
Pregame leans for SF
Christian McCaffrey · Under 60.5 rush yds Hit · 39
Kaelon Black · Under 29.5 rush yds Miss · 63
Brock Purdy · Under 20.5 rush yds Hit · 5