TB @ CAR
Week 7 · Final: TB 43, CAR 13
Cade Otton · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 0
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Bryce Young · 250+ passing yards Miss research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No lean shown Miss
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Cade Otton · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 0
Details
DraftKings: Under 3.5 receptions (+128).
Our number: 3. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Chuba Hubbard · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Details
DraftKings: Under 2.5 receptions (-138).
Our number: 2.3. TB gives up a lot to running backs, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Darren Waller · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
Fanatics: Under 2.5 receptions (-165).
Our number: 2.3. TB gives up a lot to tight ends, expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Chris Godwin Jr. · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4
Details
Lucky win: 1 catch wiped out by penalties.
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+100).
Our number: 3.8. Based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Jalen Coker · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 1
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-131).
Our number: 4.7. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Emeka Egbuka · Under 4.5 receptions Void
Void: player inactive. Out (Concussion), ESPN 2026-10-23. This pick doesn’t count as a win or a loss.
Game call
No lean shown. Our number: CAR by 6.6. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100).
We expect about 45 (CAR 26, TB 19). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Bryce Young · 250+ passing yards Miss · 163
Fair price for our chance: -279. Other rungs: 225+ about 81% (fair -435).
Cade Otton · 20+ receiving yards Miss · 0
Fair price for our chance: -267.
Jalen Coker · 3+ receptions Miss · 1
Fair price for our chance: -267. Other rungs: 4+ about 66% (fair -192) · 5+ about 60% (fair -151).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Young 250+ + Otton 20+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: -109.
3-leg parlay · Young 250+ + Otton 20+ + Coker 3+ Miss
Fair price for our chance: +157.
Pregame leans for CAR
Chuba Hubbard · Under 2.5 receptions Miss · 4
Darren Waller · Under 2.5 receptions Hit · 1
Jalen Coker · Under 5.5 receptions Hit · 1
Pregame leans for TB
Cade Otton · Under 3.5 receptions Hit · 0
Chris Godwin Jr. · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 4