CAR @ GB
Week 8 · Final: CAR 19, GB 27
Chuba Hubbard · Under 69.5 rush yds Miss · 81
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Matthew Golden · 30+ receiving yards Hit research
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge
Pregame leans ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.Beta Our pregame picks are still being tested against real prices. Our main tools are the stats and live picks.
Chuba Hubbard · Under 69.5 rush yds Miss · 81
Details
DraftKings: Under 69.5 rush yds (-114).
Our number: 67. Expected game flow works against him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (+123).
Our number: 3.9. GB gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Christian Watson · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 8
Details
DraftKings: Over 4.5 receptions (-140).
Our number: 4.5. Expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week.
Tucker Kraft · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 4.5 receptions (-131).
Our number: 3.9. CAR is tough on tight ends, expected game flow helps him, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going up.
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 6
Details
DraftKings: Under 5.5 receptions (-131).
Our number: 4.8. GB gives up a lot to receivers, based mostly on games with the same key teammates playing as this week, his playing time is going down.
Game call
No edge. Our number: GB by 2.0, close to the line.
We expect about 47 (GB 24, CAR 22). No total lean is shown: total leans have tested below break-even.
FanDuel has Carolina Panthers at 21.5; we expect about 22. No lean shown.
FanDuel has Green Bay Packers at 25.5; we expect about 24. No lean shown.
More options
Safer bets (alt lines) · research ?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.Research, not picks: graded in the background. The book’s implied chance at its price is shown next to ours; where the book has no price, it says so.
Matthew Golden · 30+ receiving yards Hit · 79
Fair price for our chance: -301. Other rungs: 40+ about 66% (fair -195) · 50+ about 59% (fair -142).
Tucker Kraft · 20+ receiving yards Hit · 53
Fair price for our chance: -300. Other rungs: 30+ about 63% (fair -172).
Christian Watson · 3+ receptions Hit · 8
Fair price for our chance: -274. Other rungs: 4+ about 62% (fair -162).
Small parlays · research
2-leg parlay · Golden 30+ + Kraft 20+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: -122.
3-leg parlay · Golden 30+ + Kraft 20+ + Watson 3+ Hit
Fair price for our chance: +142.
Pregame leans for GB
Christian Watson · Over 4.5 receptions Hit · 8
Tucker Kraft · Under 4.5 receptions Miss · 6
Pregame leans for CAR
Chuba Hubbard · Under 69.5 rush yds Miss · 81
Jalen Coker · Under 4.5 receptions Hit · 2
Tetairoa McMillan · Under 5.5 receptions Miss · 6