SAC @ NO
Final: SAC 120, NO 132
Jeremiah Fears · Over 18.5 pts+reb+ast · bet if line ≤ 25.5
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.For members.
We don’t call NBA spreads or totals yet: there is no tested record to stand behind.
Pregame leans Beta ?
The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.
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The worst number still worth taking. If your sportsbook’s line is past it, skip the bet. How far our number is from the line. Strong is the biggest gap, Light the smallest.New for this season.
Jeremiah Fears · Over 18.5 pts+reb+ast Hit · 43
Regular teammates are out: more for him
The reasons
DraftKings: Over 18.5 pts+reb+ast (-109).
Our number: 26.8 in about 29 minutes. We put the over at about 59% (0.3 our model, 0.7 the book); the book’s own no-vig chance is 49%.
Early season: this leans on last season’s numbers, so trust it less.
Domantas Sabonis · Under 6.5 assists Miss · 7
Regular teammates are out: more for him
The reasons
DraftKings: Under 6.5 assists (-108).
Our number: 4.3 in about 32 minutes. We put the under at about 58% (0.3 our model, 0.7 the book); the book’s own no-vig chance is 49%.
Early season: this leans on last season’s numbers, so trust it less.
Zach LaVine · Under 28.5 pts+reb+ast Miss · 29
Regular teammates are out: more for him
The reasons
DraftKings: Under 28.5 pts+reb+ast (-108).
Our number: 21.8 in about 31 minutes. We put the under at about 58% (0.3 our model, 0.7 the book); the book’s own no-vig chance is 49%.
Early season: this leans on last season’s numbers, so trust it less.